Statistics - Formula 1 (conclusions of season 2010-2014)

In Formula 1 I am concentrating on the statistics from the last 4-5 seasons and correct gained info with some technical news. They may mix the most in the right classification of odds made by bookmaker.

It is hard to expect big surprises from the winner of whole season. The favourite usually wins around 50%-60% of all Grand Prix. Only year 2012 was different because Vettel won only 5 races which gives only 25% on the scale of the whole season. In 2013 and 2014 there was a huge advantage of leaders (in 2013 Vettel 688% and in 2014 Hamilton 58%). These statistics show that it is hard to bet on surprises - “win in the whole season”.

As it is seen from the statistic above - it is very hard to win in a single Grand Prix. In 2010 and in 2011 only 5 drivers won in 19 races. Year 2012 was unpredictable because as much as 8 drivers won at least one match.

However everything went back to normal in 2013 and again only 5 drivers were able to win. Large domination in 2014 where only 3 driver won in 19 races shows that although there were many changes made, which were to spice up races - there are less surprises. It is very probable that this streak will follow in next seasons and only two teams will count: Mercedes and Ferrari. What is worse drivers of the rest of the teams, they may not end on the podium even once.

It is hard to expect surprises in bets on contractors of the year. Usually everything is resolved among two teams.

There is only one conclusion - not all tracks are predictable and we have to take that into consideration when betting on single Grand Prix. As it can be seen in Italy as much as 80% of drivers won races starting from Pole Position. In Canada there was only 33% and in Great Britain - 20%. Right away we can see where there is easier for surprises…

Each of the drivers has his favourite track, on which he feels good and has chances for a good result. It isn’t important if it regards leaders or drivers from far position. It is worth to look closer at the statistics and use it while placing bet “Head to Head”. The statistics shown above is preconceived, but regards only seasons during which particular drivers are taking part (from 7 to 15 years).

Drawing conclusions gives us advantage, thanks to which we are able to win in a longer run in sports bets. Let’s remember not to concentrate only on the most popular bets (win in single Grand Prix, place on the podium and the best constructor). Most often the least popular bets bring the most.